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6 comments
16 forecasters

How much of Nvidia's quarterly 2024 revenue (FY 2025) will come from the Chinese market?

Authors:
DerMannOhneEigenschaften
Opened:Dec 6, 2023
Closes:Feb 1, 2025
Resolved:Mar 4, 2025
Chinese AI Chips
AI in China
Technology
Computing and Math
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Al Jazeera logo
China bans tech firms from Nvidia chip purchases: Report
Al Jazeera•Sep 17, 2025
Verge logo
Nvidia’s AI chips are no longer welcome in China
Verge•Sep 17, 2025
Business Insider logo
Huawei's affiliate was neighbors with Nvidia in California for a decade. US lawmakers want to know why.
Business Insider•Sep 17, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

OVH
16%
Microsoft Azure
14%
Google Cloud
12%
1 other
29 forecasters

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?

OVH
27%
Microsoft Azure
5%
Amazon Web Services
5%
1 other
38 forecasters

Will any of the following Western AI chip makers have any of their AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2033?

AMD
5%
Nvidia
5%
Google
5%
35 forecasters
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