34 comments
47 forecasters
Will there be a white Christmas in at least 4 of these 9 large European cities in 2023?
20%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 20% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 6, 2023
Closes:Dec 16, 2023
Resolved:Jan 3, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 7, 2023
Will there be a large-scale power outage in the Continental Europe synchronous grid affecting multiple countries before 2028?
42% chance
18
Will European soil moisture be below the reference period for at least 3 out of the 4 years between 2022 and 2025?
42% chance
10
What will be the maximum arctic sea ice extent (in millions km^2) in these years?
18 forecasters