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How much quarterly revenue will SMIC earn from 12" wafers in 2024?

4 comments4

8 forecasters

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Forecast Timeline

Q1 (ends Mar 2024)

Q2 (ends Jun 2024)

Q3 (ends Sep 2024)

Q4 (ends Dec 2024)

Authors:

DerMannOhneEigenschaften

Opened:

Dec 6, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2025

Resolves:

Feb 13, 2025

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation

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•Jun 23, 2025

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•Jun 20, 2025

Bloomber

•Jun 20, 2025

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Will a Chinese fab achieve volume production at <N nm nodes before 2030?

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?

62%

Authors:

DerMannOhneEigenschaften

Opened:

Dec 6, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2025

Resolves:

Feb 13, 2025

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation

Checking In on AI and the Big Five

•Jun 23, 2025

How We’ll Reach a 1 Trillion Transistor GPU

•Jun 20, 2025

Bloomber

•Jun 20, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a Chinese fab achieve volume production at <N nm nodes before 2030?

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?

62%