Question

How many weeks will influenza-like illness (ILI) activity levels be at "high" or above in at least five states during the 2023-2024 season?

Resolved:21
Total Forecasters27
Community Prediction
21
(20.8 - 21.2)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%20.77
median20.97
upper 75%21.15
Upper bound
>230.7%

What was the final result?21

Community Baseline Score
18.5
Community Peer Score
73.2
Authors:
Opened:Dec 1, 2023
Closes:Jun 1, 2024
Resolves:Jul 12, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 4, 2023