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1
32 forecasters
6
1 comment
32 forecasters
Conditional Cup
condition

UN Troops In Gaza

Resolved:No
32 forecasters
if yes
if no

2024 US Presidential Election Winner?

51%
51%
Resolved:Annulled

2024 US Presidential Election Winner?

47%
47%
Resolved:No
if Yes51%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

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3 comments33 forecasters

Israel take Gaza City before 2029?

24%chance
29 comments183 forecasters

Gaza war end and two state solution by 2030?

3.3%chance
16 comments161 forecasters

Democrat Wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

61%chance
32 comments143 forecasters

Trump Ukraine War Resolution

37%chance
11 comments240 forecasters

Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?

Gavin Newsom25.9%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez10.4%
Pete Buttigieg7.2%
Other44.1%
4 others
35 comments139 forecasters

Trump wins Peace Prize before 2029?

0.5%chance
5 comments50 forecasters

Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?

Democratic Party59.9%
Republican Party40%
Other0.1%
7 comments8 forecasters

Next UN Secretary General?

Rafael Grossi25.6%
Michelle Bachelet25.6%
Rebeca Grynspan25.6%
Other22.4%
Macky Sall0.9%