Question

Will the Republican Party retain New York's 3rd congressional district (previously held by George Santos) in the special election?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters105
Community Prediction
30%
(22% - 45%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 30%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
44.6
Community Peer Score
13.9
Authors:
Opened:Jan 17, 2024
Closes:Feb 14, 2024
Resolves:Feb 14, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 20, 2024