19 forecasters

Will state-based conflict between Morocco and Algeria cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

33%chance

The community sees this as a toss-up.

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Authors:

Opened:

Dec 14, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2069

Scheduled resolution:

Jul 31, 2070

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 17, 2023