5 comments
19 forecasters
Will state-based conflict between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
33.3%chance
The community sees this as a toss-up.
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 28, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2069
Scheduled resolution:Jul 31, 2070
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 31, 2023
Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
26% chance
26
Will state-based conflict between Iran and Azerbaijan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
21% chance
21
Will state-based conflict between Morocco and Algeria cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
33% chance
19