40 forecasters

If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will the United States respond with military forces?

66.7%chance

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Authors:

Opened:

Dec 12, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 3, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 15, 2023

Update: Map Shows US Forces in Caribbean As Venezuela Watches On

Newsweek•Sep 15, 2025

Trump's Venezuela war-footing has sparked fantasy of 'killing Maduro'

Daily Mail•Sep 14, 2025

Nicolás Maduro Calls Venezuelans to Join ‘Armed Resistance’ Against U.S.

Breitbart•Sep 13, 2025

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