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2
35 forecasters
3
2 comments
35 forecasters
Conditional Cup
condition

Musk Chairman Of Twitter in 2024?

Resolved:Yes
35 forecasters
if yes
if no

Twitter Public Company in May 2024?

1%
1%
Resolved:No

Twitter Public Company in May 2024?

2%
2%
Resolved:Annulled
if No2%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

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60 comments321 forecasters

Elon Musk as Major US Politician by 2033

2%chance
6 comments83 forecasters

Musk removed as CEO of Tesla before 2027?

1.5%chance
9 comments17 forecasters

Musk Ceases to be Sole Tesla CEO When?

Current estimate
>01 Jan 2030
1 comment6 forecasters

Tesla award tranches earned by Elon Musk?

Current estimate
10.6 Targets reached
9 comments26 forecasters

Sam Altman run for POTUS by 2040

3%chance
97 comments389 forecasters

Elon Musk Becomes World's First Trillionaire

85%chance
2 comments40 forecasters

Will OpenAI file an S-1 before 2027?

87%chance
6 comments784 forecasters

Will OpenAI file for an IPO in 2026?

80%chance