51 forecasters

Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?

99.9%chance

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Authors:

will_aldred fist

Opened:

Jan 11, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2027

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 14, 2024

Chinese AI Chips

Computing and Math

China bans tech firms from Nvidia chip purchases: Report

Al Jazeera•Sep 17, 2025

Nvidia’s AI chips are no longer welcome in China

Verge•Sep 17, 2025

Huawei's affiliate was neighbors with Nvidia in California for a decade. US lawmakers want to know why.

Business Insider•Sep 17, 2025

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