43 forecasters

If at least one frontier AI model has been trained by a Chinese firm before 2027, will a Chinese frontier AI model have been trained using primarily Chinese AI chips?

80%chance

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Authors:

Opened:

Jan 11, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2027

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 14, 2024

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