Question
If at least one frontier AI model has been trained by a Chinese firm before 2025, will a Chinese frontier AI model have been trained using US cloud compute?
Resolved:NoTotal Forecasters26
Community Prediction
15%
(5% - 27.3%)
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Did this actually happen?No
Community Peer Score
1.8
Authors:
Opened:Jan 11, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 14, 2024
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
If at least one frontier AI model has been trained by a Chinese firm before 2027, will a Chinese frontier AI model have been trained using primarily Chinese AI chips?
75%
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?
Authors:
Opened:Jan 11, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 14, 2024
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
If at least one frontier AI model has been trained by a Chinese firm before 2027, will a Chinese frontier AI model have been trained using primarily Chinese AI chips?
75%