50 forecasters

Will Sam Altman leave OpenAI (again) before 2025?

0.1%chance

0.1%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Feb 3, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolved:

Jan 14, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 6, 2024

Economy & Business

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

2024 Leaderboard

Tucker Carlson asks Sam Altman if an OpenAI employee was murdered ‘on your orders’

Verge•Sep 13, 2025

OpenAI reaches new agreement with Microsoft to change its corporate structure

Associated Press•Sep 12, 2025

Suchir Balaji: What To Know About OpenAI Employee’s Death As Tucker Carlson Revives Murder Conspiracy Theory

Forbes•Sep 12, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch