28 forecasters

When will the D.C. federal criminal trial of Donald J. Trump begin? (election subversion case)

Current estimate

>01 Jan 2026

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Authors:

Opened:

Dec 14, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 17, 2023

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Trump says his Georgia election interference case ‘should now be dead for good’ after Fani Willis loses appeal

Independent•Sep 17, 2025

DA Fani Willis loses bid to appeal Trump’s Georgia election interference case ‘She is a disaster’

New York Post•Sep 16, 2025

Trial starts for a man accused of attempting to assassinate Trump

Associated Press•Sep 11, 2025

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When will the federal criminal trial of Donald J. Trump begin? (classified documents case)

(>01 Jan 2026 - >01 Jan 2026)

(>01 Jan 2026 - >01 Jan 2026)

If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?

(01 Sep 2027 - 20 Nov 2029)

(01 Sep 2027 - 20 Nov 2029)

Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?