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By what year will AI resolve binary questions on Metaculus?
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Year | My Prediction | Me | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | no | |||
2030 | 75% | |||
2035 | 90% | |||
2040 | 93% | |||
2050 | 95% | |||
Resolved Dec 29, 2024
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23.6
Community Baseline Score
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Forecast Timeline
Total Forecasters 49
Authors:
Opened:Dec 17, 2023
Closes:Dec 30, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Feb 1, 2050
Authors:
Opened:Dec 17, 2023
Closes:Dec 30, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Feb 1, 2050