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By what year will AI resolve binary questions on Metaculus?

9
14
60 forecasters

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YearMe
2025
no
2030
71%
2035
90%
2040
93%
2050
98%
Resolved Dec 29, 2024
Community Baseline Score
88.8
Community Peer Score
23.6
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Forecast Timeline

Authors:
Opened:Dec 17, 2023
Closes:Dec 30, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Feb 1, 2050