8 forecasters

Will the US sanction Venezuelan oil again by 2030?

59.7%chance

59.7%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 60% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Dec 17, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Resolved:

Apr 17, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 20, 2023

Economy & Business

Donald Trump on Maduro Being Ousted in Venezuela: 'We'll See'

Newsweek•Sep 15, 2025

Ditch Russia’s Oil For More U.S. Sanctions On Moscow, Trump Tells NATO

Forbes•Sep 14, 2025

What could Trump’s ‘second phase’ of sanctions against Russia involve?

Independent•Sep 9, 2025

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