75 forecasters

Will Labour have a majority in the House of Commons after the next UK General Election?

99.9%chance

99.9%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 100% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Dec 14, 2023

Closes:

Jan 20, 2025

Resolved:

Jul 5, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 17, 2023

2021-2025 Leaderboard

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