212
318 forecasters

Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will first come to pass before 2050?

AI-Fizzle
5.2%
Futurama
32.2%
AI-Dystopia
26.7%
Singularia
19.1%
Paperclipalypse
16.7%
Top Key Factors
No current labor productivity revolution
Decreases Likelihood