conditional
if yes
if no
Make a Prediction
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) | Trump in power beyond 2028? |
|---|---|
| My Prediction: — | |
| My Prediction: — |
The question "Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Donald Trump)" has closed, so these conditionals are closed for forecasting. They will resolve when the question "Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?" resolves.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 18, 2023
Closed:Nov 7, 2024
Scheduled resolution:Feb 1, 2029
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?
3%
Who will be the 2028 Republican nominee for President of the United States?
Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?
40%
Authors:
Opened:Dec 18, 2023
Closed:Nov 7, 2024
Scheduled resolution:Feb 1, 2029
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?
3%
Who will be the 2028 Republican nominee for President of the United States?
Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?
40%