Question

Will there be a US military combat death in the Red Sea before 2024?

Resolved:No

6 comments6

Total Forecasters86

Community Prediction

(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

96.1

Community Peer Score

7.0

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Dec 20, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 3, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 21, 2023

🏆 Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Geopolitics

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