783 forecasters

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024?

99%chance

99%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jan 1, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolved:

Jan 5, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 1, 2024

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

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Netanyahu admits Israel faces prolonged ‘isolation’ over Gaza war

CNN•Sep 15, 2025

Attacking Qatar shows Israel doesn’t want a Gaza ceasefire

Al Jazeera•Sep 14, 2025

Netanyahu gambled by targeting Hamas leaders in Qatar. It appears to have backfired

Associated Press•Sep 13, 2025

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