783 forecasters

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024?

99%chance

99%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jan 1, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolved:

Jan 5, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 1, 2024

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

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Early this morning the IDF (Israel Defense Force) invaded Gaza city with thousands of troops

OpEdNews•Sep 17, 2025

Netanyahu admits Israel faces prolonged ‘isolation’ over Gaza war

CNN•Sep 15, 2025

Attacking Qatar shows Israel doesn’t want a Gaza ceasefire

Al Jazeera•Sep 14, 2025

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