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622 forecasters

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622 forecasters

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Will OpenAI publish information describing Q* (Q-Star) in 2024?

ResolvedNo

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42 comments218 forecasters

OpenAI solves alignment before June 30 2027?

6 comments97 forecasters

Will OpenAI, Meta, or Alphabet CEO pledge AI autonomy limits before 2027?

5 comments29 forecasters

OpenAI Triggers 'Assist Clause'

1 comment43 forecasters

GPT-6 release date?

Current estimate

3 comments25 forecasters

Company with AI CEO?

$1 trillionDec 2063

$1 billionMay 2060

1 comment54 forecasters

Dates that OpenAI reports an AI reached these Self-improvement risk levels?

15 comments41 forecasters

Leading Lab No Safety

2026result: Yes

6 comments784 forecasters

Will OpenAI file for an IPO in 2026?