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ACX Contest Forecasting Window Is Closed

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The forecasting window to compete in the ACX 2024 Prediction Contest is now closed.

You are welcome to update your predictions to contribute to greater clarity in 2024, but updates after January 21, 2024, 11:59 PM PT will not contribute to your score.

The ACX 2024 Prediction Contest is open! Forecast before January 22nd to participate! $2.5k in prizes!

Scott Alexander's annual tradition of predicting the upcoming year has evolved into a full forecasting contest. For 2024, he invited Metaculus to host the competition. Kick off the new year forecasting on questions like:

We will take a snapshot of forecasters' predictions as of January 21st, 11:59 PM PT, and these will determine the contest winners. Learn more and get started on the contest page here.

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