Question

Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2025?

Resolved:No

7 comments7

Total Forecasters526

Community Prediction

0.3%

(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.3%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

13.0

Community Baseline Score

94.4

Authors:

NMorrison Gaia

Opened:

Jan 1, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 1, 2024

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