22 comments
68 forecasters
What will be the outcome of the New York Times' copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?
The case is settled56.1%
OpenAI & Microsoft Win23.5%
NYT Wins ≥$50 Million10.2%
Forecast Timeline
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 29, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 1, 2024
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Will a US court fine, or order a company to pay to claimants, >=$100M because of how they used data to train a large AI model before 2026?
4% chance
96
When will the New York Times publish an article that it claims or acknowledges is 100% written by AI?
15 forecasters
What will be the outcome of Disney and Universal's copyright lawsuit against Midjourney?
5 forecasters