🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will the US restrict Chinese AI developers' access to US cloud compute before 2025?

Resolved :No1%
7
5
Total Forecasters46
Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 5%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
47.2
Community Peer Score
34.8
Authors:
will_aldred
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Chinese AI Chips
AI in China
Geopolitics
Computing and Math
Technology
2024 Leaderboard
China
Electronics
Infrastructure
Infrastructure as a service
Cloud computing
Information technology
United States
Export control

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