68 forecasters

If inaugurated as President in 2025, will these 2024 presidential candidates complete a full four-year term?

Kamala HarrisAnnulled

Nikki HaleyAnnulled

Ron DeSantisAnnulled

Kamala Harris

Nikki Haley

Ron DeSantis

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Add key factor

Authors:

Opened:

Jan 6, 2024

Closes:

Jan 19, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 21, 2029

Ex-White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre arrives for grilling on Biden cognitive decline by House panel

New York Post•Sep 12, 2025

Nearly Half of Americans Say Trump Is Too Old to Be President

Newsweek•Sep 11, 2025

Democrats Are Still Debating Joe Biden’s Decision to Run Again

Atlantic•Sep 11, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Vice President be sworn in as President after January 21, 2025 and before January 14, 2029?

Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?

Will Donald J. Trump vacate the U.S. Presidency before noon Eastern Time on January 20, 2029?