conditional

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Labour Majority After Next UK Election?

More than 200k UK houses built?

50%
community: 20%
The question "Will Labour have a majority in the House of Commons after the next UK General Election?" has closed, so these conditionals are closed for forecasting. They will resolve when the question "Will more than 200k houses be built per year, on average, in England and Wales, during the next Parliament?" resolves.

Forecast Timeline

Opened:Dec 28, 2023
Closed:Jan 20, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Feb 22, 2030