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7 forecasters
2
0 comments
7 forecasters
Elections
condition

Labour Majority After Next UK Election?

Resolved:Yes
7 forecasters
if yes
if no

More than 200k UK houses built?

20%
20%

More than 200k UK houses built?

6%
6%
Resolved:Annulled
if Yes20%
if No6%
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4 comments18 forecasters

England to build 1.5M homes this parliament?

0.1%chance
5 comments14 forecasters

More than 200k UK houses built?

12%chance
3 comments19 forecasters

England prison population rate be 5 years later after Labour win?

Current estimate
138 per 100k
4 comments6 forecasters

Seats won per party in next UK general election 2029

Labour Party99.7
Conservative Party85.4
Liberal Democrats70.6
Reform UK271
3 others
11 comments111 forecasters

Labour UK PM on January 1, 2030

39%chance
5 comments30 forecasters

Will there be a Labour Party leadership election before 2027?

91%chance
10 comments19 forecasters

UK GDP average growth of 2.5% next few years?

13%chance
10 comments32 forecasters

Australia's next Coalition Govt a majority

48%chance