Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
19
comments
218
forecasters
When will the third Starship integrated flight test achieve liftoff?
community
15 Mar 2024 07:38
result
14 Mar 2024 08:25
Share
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments
Timeline
In the News
Question Info
Resolution Criteria
Background Info
Follow
embed
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Jan 8, 2024
Closes:
Mar 31, 2024
Resolved:
Mar 14, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:
Jan 11, 2024
🏆 Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Economy & Business
Technology
Space
2024 Leaderboard
News Match
Musk Says SpaceX to Fly Bigger, Fully Reusable Starship in 2026
Bloomberg
•
Sep 11, 2025
SpaceX Targets an Orbital Starship Flight With a Next-Gen Vehicle in 2026
Wired
•
Sep 10, 2025
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
How many times will Starship reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2025?
3
51.7%
2
36.9%
4
10.1%
3 others
46
forecasters
Will SpaceX launch the Starship three or more times in the second half of 2025?
65%
chance
46
When will SpaceX Starship first successfully fly an external customer payload?
07 Aug 2026
(11 Jan 2026 - >01 Jan 2027)
07 Aug 2026
(11 Jan 2026 - >01 Jan 2027)
60
forecasters
Show More Questions