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15 comments
55 forecasters

Will Germany supply Ukraine with a Taurus missile in 2024?

0.5%chance
0.5%chance
ResolvedNo
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Authors:
RuslanBes
Opened:Feb 3, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolved:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 6, 2024
Technology
Geopolitics
Politics
🏆 2024 Leaderboard
CNN logo
Pentagon cleared giving Ukraine long-range Tomahawk missiles, leaving final decision to Trump
CNN•Oct 31, 2025
FOX News logo
The Tomahawk factor: US long-range missiles are the battlefield gamechanger Putin should fear
FOX News•Oct 27, 2025
CBS logo
Zelenskyy meets European partners to discuss arming Ukraine with more missiles, depriving Putin of more money
CBS•Oct 24, 2025
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Will the United States commit to providing Ukraine with Tomahawk missiles before December 1, 2025?

25% chance
16

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0.2% chance
242

Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?

0.1% chance
151
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