277 forecasters

Will at least two of the three listed moon landing missions successfully land on the moon before March 1, 2024?

37%chance

37%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 37% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jan 8, 2024

Closes:

Feb 20, 2024

Resolved:

Feb 24, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 11, 2024

🏆 Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆

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How to Send Your Name to the Moon with NASA’s Artemis II Mission

Scientific American•Sep 10, 2025

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How many spacecraft will land on the moon in each of the following years?

165 forecasters

How many spacecraft will land on the moon from 2022 through 2025?

5.92 spacecraft

5.92 spacecraft

Who will be the first group to land a human on Mars?