Question

Will China settle its South China Sea maritime boundary dispute with any other state by 2030?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters3

Community Prediction

45%

(18% - 50%)

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50%

community: 45%

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Authors:

Cato

Opened:

Feb 14, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2031

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 18, 2025

Footage Shows China Firing Water Cannon at US Ally Near Disputed Territory

Newsweek•Jun 23, 2025

Pan-Pacific Tensions Heat Up in Geopolitical Power Vacuum

PJ Media•Jun 21, 2025

Southeast Asian nations look to hedge their way out of troubled waters in the South China Sea

The Conversation•Jun 18, 2025

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