33 forecasters

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

20%chance

The community sees this as a toss-up.

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Authors:

Opened:

Jan 11, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2070

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 3, 2070

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 14, 2024