2 comments
33 forecasters
Will state-based conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
20%chance
Forecast Timeline
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Jan 11, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2070
Scheduled resolution:Jan 3, 2070
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 14, 2024
Will state-based conflict between Iran and Azerbaijan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
21% chance
22
Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
26% chance
26
Will state-based conflict between Morocco and Algeria cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
30% chance
19