5 comments
23 forecasters
Will Biden's approval rating with Americans aged 18 - 29 increase by the spring of 2024?
50%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 50% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jan 11, 2024
Closes:Apr 1, 2024
Resolved:Apr 18, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 14, 2024
Will the fraction of American 18-24 year-olds enrolled in colleges in 2025 be ≥10% less than were enrolled in 2015?
12% chance
149
Will international enrolled graduate students in the US see a greater percentage decrease (or smaller increase) in Trump's first year compared to undergraduates?
33% chance
8
What will Donald Trump's net approval be on November 2, 2026?
-10.3
(-14 - -6.75)
-10.3
(-14 - -6.75)
139 forecasters