49 forecasters

Who will be the next Pope?

Otherresult: Yes

Pietro Parolin24.6%

Luis Antonio Tagle20%

Forecast Timeline

Other

Pietro Parolin

Luis Antonio Tagle

Others (17)

Authors:

NMorrison rhodopsin

Opened:

Jan 14, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2029

Resolved:

May 8, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 17, 2024

When will Pope Leo XIV cease to be pope?

(Feb 2038 - Jun 2049)

(Feb 2038 - Jun 2049)

When will Pope Benedict XVI be canonized?

(Nov 2050 - Oct 2066)

(Nov 2050 - Oct 2066)

Will there be an openly LGBT Pope before 2050?