🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?

Resolved :No53%
21
8
Total Forecasters149
Community Prediction53% (50% - 62%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 53%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
-18.7
Community Peer Score
17.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Adrian
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
Social Sciences
2016-2020 Leaderboard
Chemistry
Public health
Clinical trial
Pharmacology
Food and Drug Administration
Psychology
MDMA
Posttraumatic stress disorder
Toxicology

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