8 comments
149 forecasters
Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?
53%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 53% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Apr 10, 2016
Closes:Jan 1, 2018
Resolved:Jan 1, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 10, 2016
Will the next step for the medical approval of psychedelics for mental health be taken in the US in 2025?
5% chance
204
Qualia Research Institute Question Series: Will Psilocybin be a clinically approved treatment for end-of-life anxiety by 2027?
63.9% chance
176
In how many of the 50 US states will it be legal to use psilocybin for therapy on December 31, 2025?
3.75 states
(2.46 - 7.19)
3.75 states
(2.46 - 7.19)
35 forecasters