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3
43
forecasters
5
3 comments
43 forecasters
Conditional Cup
3 more...
condition
Will Biden and Trump Debate in 2024?
Resolved:
Yes
43 forecasters
if yes
if no
2024 US Presidential Election Winner?
60%
60%
Resolved:
Yes
2024 US Presidential Election Winner?
49%
49%
Resolved:
Annulled
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if Yes
(Yes)
if No
47%
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (3)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
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0 comments
93 forecasters
No debates between nominees in US elections in the following years?
2021-2022
Annulled
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
Annulled
2027-2028
8%
16 comments
161 forecasters
Democrat Wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
61%
chance
75 comments
183 forecasters
Trump in power beyond 2028?
2.5%
chance
35 comments
139 forecasters
Trump wins Peace Prize before 2029?
0.5%
chance
15 comments
247 forecasters
Who will be the 2028 Republican nominee for President of the United States?
JD Vance
46%
Ron DeSantis
4.4%
Marco Rubio
19.3%
Other
24.7%
4 others
7 comments
43 forecasters
Donald Trump primary voting factor in 2026 midterms?
99.9%
chance
5 comments
50 forecasters
Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Democratic Party
59.9%
Republican Party
40%
Other
0.1%
13 comments
103 forecasters
Will Donald J. Trump vacate the U.S. Presidency before noon Eastern Time on January 20, 2029?
20%
chance