Question

Will there be at least 200 military conflict deaths between Ethiopia, Somalia, and Somaliland in 2024?

Resolved:No
5
20
Total Forecasters27
Community Prediction
0.1%
(0.1% - 3%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
90.7
Community Peer Score
7.4
Authors:
skmmcj
Opened:Feb 28, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 2, 2024
Geopolitics
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