Question

When will Tesla deliver a new model cheaper than existing models?

Total Forecasters10
Community Prediction
10 Dec 2025
(12 Aug 2025 05:15 - 25 Jun 2026)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%12 Aug 2025 05:15
median10 Dec 2025
upper 75%25 Jun 2026
Upper bound
>Jan 20320.1%
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 9, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2031
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2032
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 12, 2024