Question
When will Tesla deliver a new model cheaper than existing models?
Total Forecasters10
Community Prediction
10 Dec 2025
(12 Aug 2025 05:15 - 25 Jun 2026)
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CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 12 Aug 2025 05:15 | — |
median | 10 Dec 2025 | — |
upper 75% | 25 Jun 2026 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>Jan 2032 | 0.1% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 9, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2031
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2032
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 12, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Jun 9, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2031
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2032
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 12, 2024