3 forecasters

Will a Fortune 500 Global non-tech company train a frontier AI model before 2026?

7%chance

7%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 7% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

odelaney PeterWildeford

Opened:

Feb 15, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Resolved:

Mar 4, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 18, 2024

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

2024-2025 Leaderboard

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