21 comments
73 forecasters
Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?
South Korea3%
Saudi Arabia2%
Ukraine1%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Feb 7, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch