Extended State of Emergency in Ecuador 2024?

conditional

condition

Gang Leader Fito in Custody by April 2024?

Resolved:No

14 forecasters

if yes

if no

Extended State of Emergency in Ecuador 2024?

50%

Resolved:Annulled

Extended State of Emergency in Ecuador 2024?

65%

Resolved:Yes

1 comment1

Make a Prediction

Gang Leader Fito in Custody by April 2024?	Extended State of Emergency in Ecuador 2024?
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 65%

What was the final result? Yes

Community Baseline Score

21.6

Community Peer Score

2.0

Forecast Timeline

if Yes

if No

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Jan 24, 2024

Closes:

Mar 31, 2024

Resolves:

Apr 1, 2024

Will there be major civil unrest or martial law in the Philippines in 2025?

15%

Will Ugandan opposition leader Kizza Besigye be released from custody before September 2025?

12%

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan remain President of Turkey until the next Turkish presidential election?

85%

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Jan 24, 2024

Closes:

Mar 31, 2024

Resolves:

Apr 1, 2024

Will there be major civil unrest or martial law in the Philippines in 2025?

15%

Will Ugandan opposition leader Kizza Besigye be released from custody before September 2025?

12%

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan remain President of Turkey until the next Turkish presidential election?

85%