Question
What will the number of votes cast in the 2024 US presidential election be?
Resolved:155.238302MTotal Forecasters9
Community Prediction
157M
(153M - 161M)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <140M | 1.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 152.7M | — |
| median | 156.8M | — |
| upper 75% | 160.8M | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >170M | 4.0% | — |
What was the final result?155.238302M
Community Baseline Score
35.0
Community Peer Score
2.8
Authors:
Opened:Sep 25, 2024
Closes:Nov 5, 2024
Resolves:Mar 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 28, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Sep 25, 2024
Closes:Nov 5, 2024
Resolves:Mar 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 28, 2024