57 forecasters

Will an independent review find UNRWA staff involvement in the October 7, 2023 Hamas attacks?

29%chance

29%chance

Ambiguous

Ambiguous

The community gave this a 29% chance, and it resolved Ambiguous.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Feb 1, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2025

Resolved:

Sep 24, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 4, 2024

2024 Leaderboard

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