2 comments
20 forecasters
Will the Republican Party retain Ohio's 6th congressional district (previously held by Bill Johnson) in the 2024 special election?
99%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jan 31, 2024
Closes:Jun 12, 2024
Resolved:Jun 12, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 3, 2024
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will J.D. Vance become President of the United States before January 20, 2029?
22% chance
301
Will the Vice President be sworn in as President after January 21, 2025 and before January 14, 2029?
22% chance
50
Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?
40% chance
82